Monday, August 15, 2005

A 4th IL-06?

A few days ago, Lynn Sweet wrote an article on the Cegelis campaign's fundraising efforts. I posted on it regarding the DCCC's "one major yardstick to measure political viability" being nothing more than a campaign's bottom line. ArchPundit also had a post on the article as well with some additional insight. The line that got my attention was the last line of the post:
My understanding is that DCCC is polling the District now and that will help shape future decisions as well.

What I'd like to know is if DCCC is actually polling in the 6th or not. Because if they are, it could mean one of two things: either they have a horse with deep pockets they are considering putting in the race or they are seeing if there is more to the Cegelis campaign on the ground that isn't showing in the FEC quarterly filing. This is either really good or really bad.

If they are polling to see if Cegelis has the support she says she does, this means maybe they are finally listening to the Blogosphere and grassroots volunteers working for her campaign. It means they are trying to verify that she really does have the name recognition the campaign says she does, and her 44.2% in 2004 wasn't a fluke. This might change some minds and opinions in the progressive world about how the DCCC does business. Such a move would be applauded and welcomed as signs that the Party really does want to embrace their progressive grassroots base. It would be a unifying gesture.

On the other hand, if they are staging a candidate who has deep pockets and can self-fund - essentially buying name recognition - to run against Cegelis, they are once again demonstrating that they don't get it, and confirming the worst suspicions about the DCCC expressed in the progressive Blogosphere. Such action would essentially be seen as undermining a popular candidate who has positioned herself to be the Democratic candidate for the seat. By taking this type of action to supplant a candidate who shares great support from the grassroots, the DCCC risks a potent blowback from the grassroots for anointing another millionaire candidate with no real backing from constituents. This would be a divisive move that would pit the grassroots against the DCCC, and ultimately help Roskam and the GOP.

So which is it? Are they polling the 6th or aren't they?